Wednesday, March 7, 2012

Mitt Romney losing Minorities, worse than John McCain, Mitt losing white, college-educated voters. Romney appears incapable of capturing the large margins among white working-class voters that Republican candidates need in order to win a general election

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Super Bad Omens for Mitt Romney : 


Add the low turnout and lack of enthusiasm in the Republican Primaries, add the anti-Women sentiment of the GOP ( controlling Women's Bodies ), and most important : add the American Economy that is picking up and Mitt Romney's Triumph in the November Elections seems very unlikely.

Of course I may be wrong and the situation may change, I do not have a telephone to God, and I may be driven by prejudices, inferiority complexes or hatred. I do not have magic powers to know the future and I am a humble foolish guy. I may be one of those "Liberal Idiots" that love and follow "Barry Hussein Soetoro Obama". I may have a lot of resentment and envy of Mitt Romney's billions of dollars.

But look : the "prophetic signs" can not be worse for the Republican Party, these are portents or birds of ill omen flying in the sky ( like the Roman Augurs ).

The Prognostications and Forecasts can not be worse for the GOP or "Grand Old Party".

I am inspired to say that by many polls, articles, notes and comments that I have read and by the Intelligent analyst Ruy Teixeira, here in this article :



Foreign Policy Magazine
Not-So-Super Tuesday
The real winner of the Republican primary is Barack Obama.
BY RUY TEIXEIRA
MARCH 6, 2012


The real winner of the Republican primary is Barack Obama


Some excerpts :

"A just-released Fox News poll -- not usually considered a Democrat-friendly source -- has Obama garnering 70 percent of the Latino vote, compared with just 14 percent for Mitt Romney, an incredible 5-1 ratio"
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"The president could certainly match his 80 percent overall support from minority voters in 2008. If that comes true, he has huge leeway to lose white votes. Amazingly, he could approach the levels at which congressional Democrats lost the white working class (30 points) and white college graduates (19 points) in the wipeout 2010 midterm election and still win the popular vote".
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That's not a high bar, and right now it looks like Obama will clear it with ease. In fact, it looks like the president could approach, and perhaps exceed, his 2008 performance among these voters.
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On Birth Control, Abortion, Women's Bodies, Social Issues, etc :

This hasn't gone over well with voters, especially white, college-educated voters, who tend to be relatively liberal on these issues. And it may be one reason that Romney's appeal among these voters -- despite his so-called moderate views -- may be evaporating. Recent polls show him running at about where McCain did with this group in the 2008 presidential election (a modest 4-point margin) and sometimes worse.

Even more terrifying for the Republican Party, Romney appears incapable of capturing the large margins among white working-class voters that Republican candidates need in order to win a general election. In a just-released NBC poll, Romney's margin among these voters was a mere 5 points, far less than McCain's 18-point margin in 2008 and less still than the 25 points or more Romney probably would need in order to win, given the United States' shifting demographics.
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