According to Nate Silver one possible Result in Electoral Votes is 289.5 for Obama and 248.5 for Romney.
Nate Silver is highly respected as an analyst and he uses complex mathematical tools and models. He works for the New York Times.
I follow other important websites of Electoral Forecasts, they may give a little more option for President Obama.
These websites are : Mark Blumenthal in Huffington Post ( pollster.com ), 270toWin.com, ElectionProjection.com, Real Clear Politics Map ( Battle for the White House ), Larry Sabato and others.
In general these analysts of Polls, and the betting Houses believe that President Obama has an advantage at the present date ( big or small ).
New York Times
Election Forecast: Obama Begins With Tenuous Advantage
By NATE SILVER
June 7, 2012
Election Forecast: Obama Begins With Tenuous Advantage
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