1) I guess that Latinos are not swing voters, independents or centrists. They may complain and threaten Obama a lot ( with staying in bed ) but will vote for Obama prodded and goaded by Republican Declarations and Stances. I classify them as part of Obama's base. If they are allowed to vote they will vote for Obama. Same for other Minorities or Ethnicities.
2) I guess that swing voters, independents and centrists ( that decide the 2012 election ) are influenced 90% or more in the last five months. There are researches from Universities that support this probable claim. A little economic warmth after June 1, 2011 will decide the election for Obama, even with 8% unemployment.
3) Guess : This election depends more than any other on informing the electorate. Obama is a superb orator, intellectual, scholar, professor of law, etc .... and has as company superb intellectuals like Paul Krugman, Jeffrey Sachs, Robert Reich, Robert Kuttner, many guys of the "New Republic", "The American Prospect", "New Yorker", "The Atlantic", "Daily Beast", "Daily Kos", "Huffington Post", "POLITICO.COM", Slate, and there are many writers in the "New York Times", "Washington Post", "Los Angeles Times", "Miami Herald", MSNBC, etc ..
Can this Obama Press Machine be defeated by Fox News, the "National Weekly", Charles Krauthammer, etc ... ??
Answer : NO, Given enough time and there is plenty of time.
4) The Supreme Court is delaying, procrastinating and buying time on the hot potatoes of SB 1070 and Health Care Overhaul. I speculate that they do not want to mesh with these Political Ticking Bombs. That may cause more jurisprudence in the circuits. And I think that this new generated wisdom in the courts may help to defend the President, and will morally and politically influence the Supreme Court for a more Progressive Solution to these impasses.
Vicente Duque
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