According to the bets at INTRADE.COM the swing state of Florida is heavily betted for Romney against Obama ( Florida D36.2 R63.2 ) - But Nate Silver, Chief Analyst of the New York Times ( and my favorite forecaster ) tells us that Florida is possible for Obama

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Florida has been becoming Obama Friendly after having been strongly for Romney in past weeks and in Nate Silver's model.

I am confused and perplexed. Nate Silver has increased the probability of Obama winning Florida to 50% .... His mathematical models have always proved to be excellent.

By the way, Nate Silver gives Ohio, Iowa, Virginia, Colorado and Nevada to Obama.

New Hampshire, Michigan, Oregon, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin are also safe Obamites according to Nate. There was talk of Romney conquering these states in past weeks and in other ( mainly Republican ) sites.

And Nate gives Missouri, Arizona, Indiana, and North Carolina to Romney.

Florida is the supreme Toss Up State.

Sources :



Nate Silver in The New York Times



INTRADE.COM


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