Forbes : Republican Scholar : Hispanics Won’t Save Obama in 2012 - They may be decisive in the future, but not 2012. Some important swing states : Florida, Pennsylvania, North Carolina and Colorado could be affected by Hispanic votes next year

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Texas Scholar says that Hispanics won't vote for Obama because they are more harmed by the Joblessness and hard economic situation than the rest of the population, so they will take revenge on President Obama in November 2012. 

My comment : I don't know if the Desire of Revenge against President Obama is a bigger emotion than the Fear of Republican Ethnic and Racial Hatred. So I am not totally persuaded by this article.

Forbes Magazine -
Hispanics Won’t Save Obama in 2012 -
By Merrill Matthews -
Merrill Matthews is a resident scholar with the Institute for Policy Innovation in Dallas, Texas.

June 15 2011


Hispanics Won’t Save Obama in 2012


Some excerpts :

People are not all Voters — That New York Times story pointed out that only 10 million Latinos voted in the 2008 election, 9 percent of all voters, and that was a record high. Why so low? For one thing, the Hispanic population is younger than the general population: 27.4 years was the median age for Hispanics in 2009, vs. 36.8 years for the U.S. Younger ages are less likely to vote, and a disproportionately large percentage of Hispanics aren’t even of voting age.

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So the question for presidential election purposes is as much about where those votes are as how many there are. The Census Bureau says 75 percent of the Hispanic population is located in eight states: California, Texas, Florida, New York, Illinois, Arizona, New Jersey and Colorado. Of those states, California, New York, Illinois and New Jersey will very likely remain blue in the next presidential election, while Texas and Arizona will almost certainly remain red. Colorado, which has been trending blue, and Florida, which leans red but not by much, could be swayed.

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However, the Census Bureau publication does point to a trend that neither party can ignore. Hispanics are becoming a larger and more politically potent force in U.S. politics. The party that moves to provide them with the greatest opportunities, not the most handouts, is the one that will capture their allegiance for the long term.

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