The Week : Bob Shrum - After reading this I begin to think in the possibility that Republicans can be heavily defeated in November 2012 and that their House of Representatives may be in danger of losing many GOP seats

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I am a fan of Bob Shrum and his article "Why Republicans can't find a decent presidential candidate" persuades me that the GOP has fallen in a pigsty - In November 2012 Americans won't  roll in the mud with Republicans.

The Week

Why Republicans can't find a decent presidential candidate

By Robert Shrum

The party's ideology is out of whack and nobody wants to lose to Barack Obama. Meanwhile, time is running out

May 23, 2011


Why Republicans can't find a decent presidential candidate



Some excerpts of a very long article :

None of the renunciators will reconsider. Bet on that – unless the economy craters or Obama nosedives. Even then, no late entry in modern times has prevailed in either party. There's too much money needed; there's too much Iowa to organize, too much New Hampshire to stroke; and there are too many careful calculations of long-term self interest. In any event, party rules make it impossible to barge into the primary process halfway through.

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So who's left to jump into this shallow tank by mid-summer, or at the outer edge of practicality by mid-September?

Her sell-by-date may be passing, but the once and obvious entrant could be Sarah Palin. That cure would be worse than the illness. Ailes apparently, and rightly, has come to the conclusion that she's "stupid." She also seems to have her own case of Huckabee-ism. She quit the governorship of Alaska to cash in on John McCain's disastrous Hail Mary pass in picking her. It looks like she'd rather be raking in the dollar bills than appointing the secretary of the Treasury who signs them. But she's nothing if not quirky; inspired by the twilight of the midnight sun, she might suddenly tweet her way in. She's just not the savior the party's desperate are yearning for; instead she'd be a doomsday machine for the GOP.

Palin's delay, and if it holds her final forbearance, supposedly leaves room for Michele Bachmann, Minnesota congresswoman, Tea Party firebrand, and patriotic Mrs. Malaprop, who recently relocated the start of the American Revolution to Lexington and Concord, New Hampshire. She clones the Palin of Ailes' assessment; the more they encounter Bachmann, the more the vast majority of voters would rate her as equally unqualified. Few other than the most fervent think her nomination would result in anything other than a rout.

Then there's Paul Ryan, the Wisconsin congressman and one of Kristol's prime hopes, whose stunning proposal to dismantle Medicare has already put the House Republican majority in jeopardy; absent a redistricting process dominated by GOP governors and state legislatures, a Republican strategist says privately the House would already be gone. Ryan insists he won't run; Democrats wish he would. As the 2012 standard bearer, he could finish the job of defenestrating Congressional Republicans, resolutely moving down the road to defeat under an anti-Medicare banner that New Gingrich accurately denounced as "radical."

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Indeed from Jeb Bush to Mitch Daniels, the response tells us more than the call for new aspirants: They don't want to do this. There's not only the distemper and, for some, the dishonor of the process. They also anticipate that in the end, at high noon on Jan. 20, 2013, Barack Obama will raise his right arm and take the oath of office from a Chief Justice who will get the words right the second time around – and who will know that this reelected president will now be able to correct the reactionary bias of the Supreme Court.

For the GOP, 2011 will be the year of non-announcements and ideological make-overs. That leaves the party to pursue psychic satisfaction rather than the presidency.

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