Analysis of 2010 for Obama 2012 : Democratic Senators Reelected : Tables, Percentages, Analysis and Strategies in the West and Southwest for possible troubles in Ohio, Florida or White Workers in the Industrial States of the Northeast and in the Midwest.

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If Obama wins Ohio or Florida, then he is done and reelected. If Obama performs well with White Workers ( a good share not a majority which is impossible ) then he has a second term as president. .... But "what if", study the possibilities of having some trouble in Ohio, Florida or White Workers . ...

Fox News Article says that Obama could be reelected in 2012 even if he has some trouble in Ohio or Florida, but he has to perform well in the West and Southwest. Obama has to follow the strategies of those Democratic Senators that were reelected there. They trusted these people : Youngsters, Women and Latinos and had some of the Glory and Enthusiasm of 2008.

The Fox News article inspired me to study the electoral tables and data in Wikipedia. I did that for all Democratic Senators that were reelected in 2010.

U. S. Senate Elections of 2010 in Wikipedia

Democratic Senators Reelected in 2010 :

Barbara Boxer, California, 52.1%

Ron Wyden, Oregon, 57.2%

Michael Bennet, Colorado, 47.7%

Harry Reid, Nevada, 50.2

Patty Murray, Washington, 52.4%

Joe Manchin, West Virginia, 53,5% ( Incumbent retired, Democratic hold )

Patrick Leahy, Vermont, 64.4%

Chuck Schumer, New York, 65.4%

Kirsten Gillibrand, New York, 62%

Barbara Mikulski, Maryland, 61.8%

Daniel Inouye, Hawaii, 74.8%

Chris Coons, Delaware, 56.6% Incumbent retired, Democratic hold, (Winner elected to finish term)

Richard Blumenthal, Connecticut, 55.1%,Incumbent retired, Democratic hold

As in most midterm elections, the party not controlling the White House gained ground. Republicans defeated two Democratic incumbents: Blanche Lincoln of Arkansas and Russ Feingold of Wisconsin; they also won open seats in Illinois, Indiana, North Dakota and Pennsylvania. This was the largest number of Senate gains for the party since the 1994 election and also the first time since that election that they successfully defended all of their own seats. However, Democrats retained a 53-47 majority.

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Fox News
Colorado: Key To 2012 Victory
by Kelly David Burke
July 14, 2011


Colorado: Key To 2012 Victory


Some excerpts :

"The winning of a state like Colorado is going to be absolutely critical and will be to some extent a metaphor for the entire country," political analyst Floyd Ciruli maintains. "If you can't win in particular the Unaffiliated voter in Colorado, that independent voter, you probably can't carry a whole host of states in this country."

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Republican strategist Karl Rove put it more bluntly in a speech at a Colorado Springs GOP fundraiser in June when he said, "In 2012, as goes Colorado, so goes the nation."

"Colorado is incredibly important," agrees Colorado Democratic Chair Rick Palacio. President Obama won Colorado in 2008 by nine points. I'm convinced that he's going to do it the same way again."

Obama strategist David Axelrod has said the President must hold Colorado, and possibly Nevada and New Mexico which he also won in 2008, in order to win a second term.

"Quite frankly if he doesn't do as well in Ohio or Florida or larger states back east," Ciruli explains, "there is no doubt that Democrats the last four years have gotten much more viable here in the West.

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But the Republican wave that swept the nation in the 2010 elections had a major bright spot for Democrats when Colorado Senator Michael Bennet narrowly retained his seat. His successful campaign provides a winning template for the President in Colorado and elsewhere.

"Senator Bennet won in 2010 because of three constituencies: female voters, the young voters and the Latino voters," according to Palacio, "and the President is probably going to follow the same suit in Colorado."

Call says Colorado Republicans have also learned from Bennet's victory. "Republicans are reaching out to Hispanics, to women voters in ways that perhaps we didn't do in connection with the senate race. And I think that will be a big part of our victory in the upcoming election."

Another part of Bennet's winning strategy may also come into play in the Presidential race depending on who the Republicans nominate as their candidate. His campaign took great pains to portray his opponent, Weld County District Attorney Ken Buck as, "Too extreme for Colorado."

"That race was mean, it was close and it was expensive," says Ciruli. That description will no doubt also apply to the 2012 presidential race in Colorado and across the nation.

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