If the Tea Party becomes very powerful and aggressive during the Republican Primaries then that is a bonus for President Obama and his reelection. The centrists and moderates that define the election will be put off by a Tea Party Candidate or someone with extreme right views.
Burns and Haberman on 2012 Main Content
PPP: Michele Bachmann takes 1-point national lead
By ALEXANDER BURNS
July 19, 2011
PPP: Michele Bachmann takes 1-point national lead
Some excerpts :
The Democratic firm Public Policy Polling delivers a new set of national numbers that show Michele Bachmann is not just an early-state phenomenon, and she hasn't yet hit her ceiling:
Bachmann's momentum continues to build and she's taken first place by the smallest of margins on PPP's newest national Presidential poll. 21% of Republican primary voters say she's their top choice to 20% for Mitt Romney, 12% for Rick Perry, 11% for Herman Cain, 9% for Ron Paul, 7% for Newt Gingrich, 5% for Tim Pawlenty, and 3% for Jon Huntsman.
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Bachmann's rise has been fueled by her appeal to voters on the far right- and their skepticism about Romney. Romney has the lead with centrist Republicans (23-17) and with those defining themselves as only somewhat right of center (24-17). But among 'very conservative' voters only 48% have a positive opinion of Romney to 34% who view him negatively, weak numbers, and Bachmann's capitalizing on that with a 26-15 lead over Romney, who's in third place with that group of voters.
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