British "The Economist" about America : "Now is no time for policy tightening. And elected representatives in Washington are playing with fire. By cutting too much spending in the short-term and turning the debt-ceiling fight into a political battle, Congress risks making a large unforced error"

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"The economy is simply too vulnerable at the moment for politicians to make those kinds of mistakes." :

My Comment : The Budget Cutting and Debt Ceiling of Republicans may push America into a graver Recession. It is important to consider Trade and the International Situation, before making big domestic mistakes with the Budget.

British "The Economist" Magazine
Economics - Free Exchange
America's jobless recovery - Not again
June 3rd 2011
WASHINGTON


America's jobless recovery - Not again


Some excerpts :

AMERICAN labour markets are faltering, and the script looks distressingly familiar. In the spring of 2010, a strong American economic recovery finally seemed imminent. In the three months to May of last year, private employers added over 400,000 workers and the future looked brighter still. But a crisis in Europe shook market confidence. As investors fled to safety, firms grew nervous and hiring slowed. Only in the fall of last year—not long after the Federal Reserve announced a new round of stimulative asset purchases—did activity pick up.

And in 2011? In the three months to April, private employers added over 700,000 jobs, and conditions again seemed to be improving. But the global economy has suffered one disruptive shock after another. Bad weather dragged down activity early in the year and political instability in North Africa and the Middle East boosted oil prices. A devastating disaster in Japan seems to have had a bigger impact on the Japanese economy, and on global trade, than was initially expected. Big emerging markets—primary sources of global growth in recent years—have been working to slow their economies to tamp down rapid inflation. And Europe's crisis continues to worsen.

Amid these headwinds, American growth has disappointed, falling short of the 4% annual rates projected early in the year. And labour market trouble followed. This morning, the Bureau of Labour Statistics released a dismal economic report. After producing job gains averaging 220,000 per month in the three months to April, the economy added just 54,000 in May, below expectations. The private sector did a bit better, adding 83,000 jobs, but that was well off the healthy rate of hiring enjoyed earlier in the year. The unemployment rate rose to 9.1%, from 9.0% in April.

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In a global economy this volatile, the American economy is going to have a rocky month here and there. But American government officials are doing themselves no favours. Federal Reserve officials are overly concerned with inflation given the outlook for slowing global growth. Now is no time for policy tightening. And elected representatives in Washington are playing with fire. By cutting too much spending in the short-term and turning the debt-ceiling fight into a political battle, Congress risks making a large unforced error. The economy is simply too vulnerable at the moment for politicians to make those kinds of mistakes.

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