My Guess : President Obama is going to be reelected - Time is running out and it is very difficult to change minds and hearts overnight. I pay attention to Polls but I believe that bets are more accurate - And I trust the Intelligence and Intellect of Obama

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Mitt can be very shrewd and smart to make money, close deals for his gain etc ....  Perhaps I can describe him as sharp and cunning. Mitt has the artful subtlety of deceptiveness. Mitt has a lot of Skill in deception and guile. Mitt is the master of tricks and stratagems. I suspect him of some wickedness and evil in order to satisfy his greed and narcissism. That is why he lies constantly even unnecessarily and is Top Hypocrite !

Evading Military Service and Danger in Vietnam by being a "Mormon Missionary" was one of those tricks or stratagems. And it reveals a lot about the Character and Personality of Mitt Romney.

The "School Bully", "Brutal Barber" and "Fake Cop" should not be taken lightly. They also reveal what Mitt has always been.

The superiority of character of Obama over this "Well Oiled Weahtervane" is something that I do not doubt for a second. Superiority to be a better President of the USA and a better commander in chief in difficult and dangerous situations.

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There has been a lot of noise about Mitt winning the First Debate and having better "Body Language" and Smiles. But this is not a Beauty Contest of being "Miss Sympathy"....

Consider that time is running out .... There is not enough time to change hearts and minds.

I study bets every day, and I see that the only real change has been in Florida.

Let's be generous : Mitt wins Florida ( I am not sure ), North Carolina, Indiana, Missouri, Arizona, the last three have not been in play during the year.

But that is not enough to crown Mitt. Obama seems stronger and stronger in Ohio, Virginia, Iowa, Colorado, Nevada, New Hampshire and Wisconsin.

The bets are so skewed for Obama in these last Obama "Swing States" that it seems extremely difficult to change his favorability in such short time until November 6. And people are already voting.

Bettors are not idiots, when they bet 70 to 30 they know what they are doing - They have inside information, they are in locus, in the state that is in question, they are inside or close to the campaigns and the politicians and operatives of both parties, they know little secrets that we ignore.

Things do not change so fast, only little bumps of conventions or debates.

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And returning to Obama, he is not an idiot, he didn't reach the Presidency by being a fool. President Obama "lost" the debate because his intelligence and rationality betrayed him. He will now be better prepared by old foxes ( but not those of Fox News, those are the most treacherous and false of bad animals ).

Vicente Duque

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