Friday, October 19, 2012

DailyKos.com : POSITIVE statistics on early voting in Ohio - OH Data on new registrants in 2012 : 81% of those registering this year are "either female, younger than 30, African-American or Latino : all strong Obamists." 64% of these in Obamaist counties in 2008

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Memo from Jeremy Bird, National Field Director for the Obama campaign : "55% of the requests for early votes in Ohio are females, up from 52% four years ago.  There is a 55,636 advantage in requests from precincts won by Obama in 2004 versus those won by McCain."

DailyKos.com
POSITIVE statistics on early voting in Ohio
by teacherkenFollow

Friday October 19, 2012 at 07:09 AM PDT


POSITIVE statistics on early voting in Ohio


Some excerpts :

Ohio does not have registration by party.  But there is this interesting set of observations from the memo: 

    Because Republicans had a competitive primary this year and Democrats did not, as Professor McDonald points out, Republicans have a 460,000-person edge this year in past primary voters –or what Romney’s campaign is disingenuously referring to as voters registered as Republicans.

    Despite our smaller numbers, however, Democratic primary voters are outvoting Republican primary voters by a wide margin across the state. A greater percentage of Democratic primary voters than Republican primary voters have requested a ballot, have returned a mail ballot and have voted in person. Altogether, 145,880 Democratic primary voters have cast ballots, 28,013 more than Republican primary voters.

We know from the internals of the NBC polls in Iowa and Wisconsin that Obama has a huge advantage in those states in early voting.  We are seeing a similar pattern in Ohio.  And all indications from North Carolina yesterday is that the long lines were a product of Democratic turnout.  Obama is banking votes in his 3 Midwestern firewall states at a rate that makes clear why Republicans like Ohio Secretary of State Husted are trying to kill early voting, because early voting is killing Romney.

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