Analysis of the 9 Obama Fortresses in Ohio :
Thursday, October 18, 2012
If Hamilton County ( with city of Cincinnati ) and Montgomery County ( with city of Dayton ) vote for Obama, then Obama is reelected because the other seven Counties had stronger force for Obama in 2008
County, City ......................................... Total Votes
Cuyahoga, Cleveland : Obama 69.05, McCain 30.11, 672,750
Franklin, Columbus : Obama 59.96%, McCain 39.14%, 564,971
Hamilton, Cincinnati : Obama 53.14%, McCain 46.14%, 429,267
Montgomery, Dayton, Obama 52,42%, McCain 46.20%, 280,746
Lucas, Toledo, Obama 64.98%, McCain 33.53%, 221,905
Summit, Akron, Obama 57.93%, McCain 40.80%, 280,841
Mahoning, Youngstown, Obama 62.24%, McCain 35.63%, 128,914
Trumbull, Warren, Obama 60.00%, McCain 37.57%, 108,441
Warren, Lebanon, Obama 67.50%, McCain 31.44%, 106,951
The Following Numbers are taken from "United States Election Project" - Dr. Michael McDonald - Department of Public and International Affairs - George Mason University, Virginia
Link here :
Early Voting Data - Dr. Michael McDonald
We have these numbers for Year 2012 Early Voting, These are the 21 biggest counties in Ohio :
Second column is Early Voting Stats 2012, - Third Column is 2012 Early / 2008 Votes - Fourth column is 2008 total votes, fifth column is Early Voting over Total Votes cast 2008.
Cuyahoga 79,566 11.8% 672,750 39.5% 10/18
Franklin 83,461 14.8% 564,971 44.3% 10/18
Hamilton 40,784 9.5% 429,267 25.4% 10/17
Summit 21,628 7.7% 280,841 31.2% 10/17
Montgomery 22,303 7.9% 280,746 25.8% 10/17
Lucas 16,521 7.4% 221,905 28.5% 10/17
Mahoning 13,726 10.6% 128,914 32.1% 10/17
Trumbull 9,724 9.0% 108,441 23.1% 10/17
Warren 11,491 10.7% 106,951 24.3% 10/17
I give you this data so that we can share perspectives on what is going to happen in Ohio, and we may make our wild guesses. I will continue improving and completing this data. With further analysis using other websites and blogs.
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