Monday, October 22, 2012

Ohio : "Obama has a massive 54 to 41 lead over Romney among those who said they have already voted. The president also leads among those who say they plan to vote before Election Day, 48 to 44, while Romney leads among those who say they will vote on Election Day, 49 to 44."

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The Hill
Poll: Race tied in Ohio, but Obama holds edge among early voters
By Jonathan Easley

Monday, October 22, 2012 03:39 PM ET


Poll: Race tied in Ohio, but Obama holds edge among early voters


Some excerpts :

President Obama and Mitt Romney are tied in the critical battleground state of Ohio, according to the latest Suffolk University poll, but Obama has a significant lead over his GOP challenger among those who have already voted.

Obama and Romney each took 47 percent support in the poll of likely voters. That’s nearly in line with the RealClearPolitics average of polls, which shows Obama ahead by 1.9 percentage points in the state.

However, Obama has a massive 54 to 41 lead over Romney among those who said they have already voted. The president also leads among those who say they plan to vote before Election Day, 48 to 44, while Romney leads among those who say they will vote on Election Day, 49 to 44.

A survey from Democratic-affiliated Public Policy Polling (PPP) released Saturday similarly shows a tight race, with Obama topping Romney 49-48. A CBS News/Quinnipiac poll released Monday shows Romney with a late surge in the state, but Obama holding a 5-point lead with 50 percent support to 45.

Ohio is lining up to be a toss-up state with a high likelihood of swinging the election. It's especially important for Romney, who is generally considered to have a narrower path to victory through the Electoral College. No Republican has ever lost Ohio and gone on to win the presidency.

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